Sunday, February 17, 2008

The NANO

After the legendary Ford Model T, the car that ‘put America on wheels’, there has not been a single model that has revolutionized the automobile industry. (Model T was the first car to be produced on an assembly line and it was sold at $850, in 1905). But today, the Model T seems to have a competitor emerging from the unlikeliest of challengers in the form of the TATA NANO from the stable of Tata Motors, India.

So what is revolutionary about it? It comes with a price tag of $2500 (40% cheaper than the closest competitor – Chinese Alto $4112). The whole world seemed to have taken notice and is gearing up to the launch.

It was conceptualized by Ratan Tata, who seemed to have revitalized the Tata Giant moving at a trot to a gallop. The motivation was to give the Indian middle class family of four, travelling precariously perched on a motorcycle, a better, safer and cheap alternative mode of transportation. One of the lesser known brains behind the project includes Girish Wagh and his team of engineers. Girish Wagh is also credited with the earlier success Tata Ace, the 4 wheeler road carrier that has reached far corners of rural India.

The project has had its fair share of troubles and is going to see much more going ahead. But you cannot expect a revolution to go unchallenged. The problems faced include the SEZ land acquisition issue, unimaginable price ceiling, protests by environmentalists and even floods at the production site. But the project seems underway in spite of all these. And Ratan Tata has assured that they will stick to the promised price and hence give wings to the aam-aadmi’s dream.

So how actually has the dream price been conquered? Innovation!! Not revolutionary invention, but a series of small, marginal and significant improvements. In fact Tata Motors has filed for 34 patents for the project. Ranging from the basic engineering design to even the supply chain, every link has produced its frugal best for the project.

The car has a rear engine, that is connected to the rear wheels directly thus saving on steering columns which have been kept hollow as they do not have to support the weight of the engine. The engine itself was made of aluminum, thus saving on weight and cost. The car has only one side rear view mirror and only one wiper. In the interiors, the HUD (Head-Up-Display) has been kept simple with an odometer, fuel level and turn indicator. Also the glass used in the HUD was not anti-reflective, as the natural angle it made, allowed it to be visible. The car as well uses a lot of adhesives rather than expensive welding. Also the interior parts were made such that, they just fit into each other rather than requiring screws to hold them. The tubeless tyres have been kept small owing to the lesser weight and have been spaced as far as possible in the frame, compensating for their small size. The bulbs used for the lights are standard ones as against longer life ones.

Every part used on the Nano, is customized and not the standard used in other small cars. The suppliers play a crucial role in achieving the 1 lakh price tag. Almost 85% of the car is produced by third party suppliers. All of them have agreed for razor thin margins, owing to the large volumes that Tata Motors has promised. Most of the parts have been priced at the variable cost. Also Tata Motors had aggressively bid with the suppliers, sometimes starting at 50% of the bid price received by them. Some suppliers like Exide have almost forgone the entire margin, just for being associated with the project, as the breadwinners for them are in different category. The breakeven for these suppliers can even take almost 2 to 3 years. Tata motors even plans to assemble the car at the dealer points from the dealer kits delivered to them.

But one thing that was not compromised on was the design. In spite of the price, the Nano has quite an aesthetic design and will cause heads to turn. The tall boy design was very well Ratan’s suggestion, as he wanted a car that he can drive out during the launch, given his huge frame. Also the curved windshield used gives it a cute look, while a simpler straight one could have cost less. The Nano is 8% smaller than the Maruti 800, but has 20% more interior space than it, owing to its thinner and taller frame.

Tata motors plans to sell a million Nanos every year. The current domestic passenger car sale is about 1 million cars a year. So to double the entire industry sales, seems like a stiff target. But going by the interest shown by the media and the people at the launch, Tata motors may very well achieve their targets.

What will be the effect of Nano on the environment? Tata motors claims that the car has a catalytic converter and that it produces much less pollution than any other car. But will that comparison suffice. Most of the buyers are going to be two-wheeler owners who will upgrade to it. So isn’t a comparison with two-wheeler emissions required? An addition of million Nanos driving about 8000 Kilometers a year will increase our carbon dioxide emissions by 8% according to a report by the Central Environmental Research Institute.

Also the planners seem to be in a quandary over the infrastructure bottleneck that is sure to greet the Nano. If say Nano sells 60% in urban areas (very conservative estimate), it will add 6 Nanos for every 10 cars in our roads. So going ahead, the roads are going to get clammed, traffic signals are going to get longer and parking will become unavailable. But this is not going to be unsolvable. If we could produce something as amazing as Nano, these are much simpler problems. Solutions can include car pooling, higher parking fares, public transportation systems and higher taxes on new vehicles.

Questions also linger on the automobile waste that will be generated because of two-wheelers that have been phased out. Fledgling recycling capacity is terribly inefficient to handle the wastes.

In spite of all these happening, sales of Nano will continue, as India has a vehicle penetration of 7 per 1000 adults compared with the high 400s in developed countries. Some simple feelers for the future success of the project include, politicians asking for reservation in bookings and quotas for the poor. Now that sure should have brought a smile to the legend.

14 comments:

Srinivasan said...

A good omen. The project is ahead of schedule.
http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/news/business/tata-nano-may-be-launchedjune-july-sources/19/39/326618
There is no more stopping of Tata Motors. If you still are not invested, may be time to reconsider.
Might not be the best of earnings generating project, but as is with any investment in the long run will be good. And empirically, investors have always missed out on such widely publicized companies, because all of them believed, everybody had acted upon the news and hence the stock is no more cheaply valued.
:D

Unknown said...

good article.. and good suggestion for investers da.. nee mattum eppavum vitthiyasama yosikkira?

Kavin Kumar said...

Good compilation and aggregation of thoughts and stats da..Again a very good post..

Srini, I have a question for you da machi..What is your strategy in Blogging da? ;-) You have a deep analysis in each of your post I have read so far..That s y.. :)

Srinivasan said...

@ pradeep...
he hee.. vidiyasama ellam yosikala.... hw else can u classify investing in reliance power, if i don't follow the herd. The contrarian strategy of investing is quite fascinating. That is you buy when all others are selling, and you sell when they all buy. I like the theory but still not practicing it.
@Kavin
I was working on a research project for the automobile sector and also visited the Auto expo in Delhi. BMW, Audi and even the Hummer were overshadowed by the Nano. It was amazing. So naturally got interested and did some secondary research. And voila, the result.
And regards strategy, I am nt sure if i have any. Jus like to work my ass out on something as if my lyf depended on it. Provides the much needed distraction and most of al gives me some purpose.
Now i hope, the evaluator of my research paper feels the same way about it, as you feel abt the blog. :D

Kavin Kumar said...

Hmmm. Really this(I mean the entire blog of yours) is great piece of work man.
Keep posing often :)
Good Luck

Unknown said...

hmmm.. srini.. u hav got some good critics... lemme try to put u down a

little;)
first of all... hehehe... u need not be writin much abt automobile and

stuff... already u hav done a lot of it and its become very usual;)
and now.. coming to business...
i see tat u hav done a lot of 'Ctrl+C'ing and 'Ctrl+V'ing...
i mean ur steering column stuff and 8%... 30% stuff... i cud see those

figures even in regional dailies wen nano was launched...
i accept aluminium sheds down some weight... but cost???(pradeep knows

how much aluminium costs!!!) i suppose the cost advantage comes from the

facy tat the nano has a two cylinder engine...
tho' ppl speak a lot abt its design... i see a lot of similarities with

our own traditional "tup-tup's"... i mean our 'autorickshaws'!!!
i just get the feel that the nano is just a four legged bro' of our 'auto'... especially the rear engine thing... i don think its the inspiration from Lamborghini Murcielago LP640!!!
and just on the lighter side... i wd attribute the cost reduction factor to this 'Bumper colored body'...
ok now srini.. lets come to terms...
am very much proud that a car wid pan-global expectation is rolling out of indian factory... with indian brain behind it... with indegenoues suppliers backing... hail tata!!!
again we prove indians are cheap!!!

Unknown said...

oops... sorry...
all suppliers rnt quite indian...
but guys... ther lies the opportunity and our future!!!
only if supported by tata's and ambani's...

Srinivasan said...

@ arun
he he.. finally one of u hv visited the blog....
yubba... i hv had it 4 lyk 3 yrs....
nd hey.. lets keep the book stories out of here...(nt only mine... al of de grps)
and hey.. yeah i nvr claimed the work original :D
nd hey lot of difference in hw u put things...
like 'indians are cheap' and 'indians are pioneers of frugal engineering'... see they r world's apart...
nd hey cost cutting is a phenomenon of free markets....
so extending ur logic u cant say al corporates cuttign costs r cheap.....
n de sheddin down weight thing... the lighter it is the lesser power suffices....
n nxt time jus accuse me of CCPing..... atleast for the uninitiated, i wil look scholarly :D
nd hey...to understand wt a storm this has stirred....
BMW mini, fiat 500 and volkswagen beetle r al heading to india...
we r goin to b THE MARKET for small cars....

Unknown said...

so.. u hav defended well with jarhon frm financial world...
yea... but... every corporate is looking in for cost cutting.. but nevetheless compromising on the quality... i don mean to say tata compromised on quality... we ll hav to wait and watch...
also i did not particularly mean that indians are cheap... but just chk the attitude of ppl towards an indian car and a japanese or german one... tats wer the brand image plays...
ther wd be no buyers if maruthi launched a luxury sedan(i mean witout the suzuki tag)...
tis is wer i felt indians r cheap...
but tat is india...
ok now.. nxt topic(putting up comments as tho' we got an audience!!!)
small car market...
we can expect fiat 500 to be a relatively comparitive small car on cost basis... i don think the beamer can be any cheaper even if it does a cycle!!!
indian small car market will be ruled by cheap cars only...
and india is a potent auto export hub...
come on da... think its enuf... i don think we got any buyers...

Srinivasan said...

ok lemme keep it short this time...
the image thing is al perceptions. fr eg Skoda ws the most rundown car tht anyone could have bought in al of europe (4give me vijay) the czech company had lots of image problems. bt indians today perceive skodas as luxury cars and perceive their own as low in quality as u hv well established.
nd yeah one thing we agree on, India is becoming THE HUB for small cars
btw hw bad skoda is, sample these

I was stopped for speeding in a Skoda,
but I was let off due to the Copper(police officer) laughing too much

Why do skodas hv a rear wash wipe ?
...To remove the flies that crash into them

How do you double the value of a skoda?
Chuck a penny into it.

There is a big competition at my local pub the first prize is a skoda,
........the second prize is two skodas

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